Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.070690 0.078305 0.086661 0.096561 0.108028 0.120969 0.136780
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.059357 0.069685 0.081957 0.097807 0.118026 0.143364 0.178189
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.051090 0.062653 0.077252 0.097448 0.125353 0.163653 0.222285
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045717 0.058084 0.074499 0.098576 0.134265 0.187509 0.277959
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041662 0.054508 0.072290 0.099718 0.142996 0.212722 0.343724
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038377 0.051471 0.070258 0.100539 0.151077 0.238534 0.419787
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035457 0.048557 0.067933 0.100377 0.157287 0.262429 0.501788
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032752 0.045639 0.065197 0.099032 0.161022 0.282493 0.584505
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031150 0.044204 0.064556 0.101017 0.171069 0.317725 0.722119
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.029061 0.041805 0.062084 0.099399 0.173806 0.338068 0.832090
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027696 0.040426 0.061131 0.100355 0.181853 0.372956 1.010088
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026206 0.038715 0.059434 0.099662 0.186246 0.400346 1.185222
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025151 0.037660 0.058810 0.101037 0.195724 0.445122 1.474515
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024159 0.036635 0.058142 0.102245 0.205155 0.493910 1.845215
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023030 0.035290 0.056768 0.101816 0.210577 0.533209 2.229975
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022211 0.034422 0.056191 0.102991 0.220359 0.591412 2.839808
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021463 0.033621 0.055662 0.104193 0.230539 0.656575 3.665951
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020734 0.032803 0.055024 0.105060 0.240052 0.724957 4.750426
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019947 0.031826 0.053993 0.104886 0.246573 0.785520 6.020426
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019089 0.030667 0.052508 0.103459 0.249060 0.830534 7.345688
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018648 0.030254 0.052488 0.105563 0.263134 0.940201 10.518938
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017871 0.029163 0.050997 0.103848 0.264469 0.987195 12.987683
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017397 0.028619 0.050603 0.104862 0.275331 1.095607 18.673424